They are scoring 1.40 goals a game, which ranks 10th of 20 in the La Liga against a divisional average of 1.53.
At the other end they concede 1.10 a game — 5th best in the division, where the average side ships 1.52.
The split between home and away is pronounced — 1.67 points per game at home against 0.50 on the road — and the engine weights that gap in every fixture it prices.
Overall that is 12 points from 10 matches, 7th in the table and a 53rd percentile profile against the rest of the division.
Alaves grade out strong for defence and weak for away form. That shape — a side whose defence carries them and whose away form is the department most likely to cost a tight match — is why the engine prices their fixtures the way it does: a projected margin that tracks the goal difference rather than the reputation.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona |
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 9 | +30 | 27 | WWWWW |
| 2 |
 Atletico Madrid |
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 8 | +12 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 3 |
 Real Madrid |
9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 9 | +14 | 21 | WWLWW |
| 4 |
 Real Betis |
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 19 | LWDWW |
| 5 |
 Real Sociedad |
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 6 |
 Sevilla |
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 | LDLWW |
| 7 |
Alaves
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 12 | DLLDL |
| 8 |
 Villarreal |
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 12 | WDLWW |
| 9 |
 Celta Vigo |
9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 11 | WDWDD |
| 10 |
 Deportivo La Coruna |
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 | LDLDL |
| 11 |
 Osasuna |
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 | WLDLL |
| 12 |
 Racing Santander |
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 11 | WLDLL |
| 13 |
 Levante |
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 10 | WDDLL |
| 14 |
 Elche |
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 | WDDWL |
| 15 |
 Athletic Club |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | LDDD |
| 16 |
 Getafe |
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 9 | DLWLD |
| 17 |
 Rayo Vallecano |
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 9 | LDDW |
| 18 |
 Espanyol |
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 19 |
 Valencia |
10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 6 | LDDLW |
| 20 |
 Malaga |
10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 5 | DLDLL |
Every prediction on this club was published before kick-off and graded against the final score afterwards. Nothing has been removed, including the misses — the strip above shows them alongside the hits. We are not publishing a hit-rate percentage for Alaves yet: 20 graded picks is too small a sample for one to mean anything, and a precise-looking figure off a sample this size would be misleading rather than transparent. The site-wide accuracy record, which pools every league, is the number worth reading until this one catches up.
Alaves are covered by the 8th Day Engine, which publishes a projected scoreline and a win probability for every La Liga fixture before kick-off.
They currently sit 7th in the La Liga on 12 points from 10 matches, with 14 scored and 11 conceded for a goal difference of +3.
The engine grades them C+ overall — a 53rd percentile side across attack, defence, consistency, momentum and both home and away form, measured against every other club in the division rather than against reputation.
We hold 20 graded predictions on Alaves so far, 6 of which called the right result. That is too small a sample to quote a hit rate from, so we do not quote one; every pick is listed above, misses included.
Predictions on this page are modelled estimates published for transparency, not betting advice.
Ratings on this page are percentiles against the other clubs in the La Liga, recomputed from the current league table every time it refreshes. Records, goals and home/away splits are the complete league figures; anything labelled “graded” covers only the matches we published a prediction on.