They are scoring 1.33 goals a game, which ranks 12th of 20 in the La Liga against a divisional average of 1.53.
At the other end they concede 2.22 a game — 19th best in the division, where the average side ships 1.52.
The split between home and away is pronounced — 1.75 points per game at home against 0.40 on the road — and the engine weights that gap in every fixture it prices.
Overall that is 9 points from 9 matches, 17th in the table and a 30th percentile profile against the rest of the division.
Rayo Vallecano grade out average for home form and weak for defence. That shape — a side whose home form carries them and whose defence is the department most likely to cost a tight match — is why the engine prices their fixtures the way it does: a projected margin that tracks the goal difference rather than the reputation.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 Barcelona |
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 9 | +30 | 27 | WWWWW |
| 2 |
 Atletico Madrid |
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 8 | +12 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 3 |
 Real Madrid |
9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 9 | +14 | 21 | WWLWW |
| 4 |
 Real Betis |
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 19 | LWDWW |
| 5 |
 Real Sociedad |
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 6 |
 Sevilla |
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 | LDLWW |
| 7 |
 Alaves |
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 12 | DLLDL |
| 8 |
 Villarreal |
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 12 | WDLWW |
| 9 |
Celta Vigo |
9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 11 | WDWDD |
| 10 |
 Deportivo La Coruna |
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 | LDLDL |
| 11 |
 Osasuna |
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 | WLDLL |
| 12 |
 Racing Santander |
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 11 | WLDLL |
| 13 |
 Levante |
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 10 | WDDLL |
| 14 |
 Elche |
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 | WDDWL |
| 15 |
 Athletic Club |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | LDDD |
| 16 |
 Getafe |
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 9 | DLWLD |
| 17 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 9 | LDDW |
| 18 |
 Espanyol |
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 19 |
 Valencia |
10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 6 | LDDLW |
| 20 |
 Malaga |
10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 5 | DLDLL |
Every prediction on this club was published before kick-off and graded against the final score afterwards. Nothing has been removed, including the misses — the strip above shows them alongside the hits. We are not publishing a hit-rate percentage for Rayo Vallecano yet: 26 graded picks is too small a sample for one to mean anything, and a precise-looking figure off a sample this size would be misleading rather than transparent. The site-wide accuracy record, which pools every league, is the number worth reading until this one catches up.
Rayo Vallecano are covered by the 8th Day Engine, which publishes a projected scoreline and a win probability for every La Liga fixture before kick-off.
They currently sit 17th in the La Liga on 9 points from 9 matches, with 12 scored and 20 conceded for a goal difference of -8.
The engine grades them D overall — a 30th percentile side across attack, defence, consistency, momentum and both home and away form, measured against every other club in the division rather than against reputation.
We hold 26 graded predictions on Rayo Vallecano so far, 17 of which called the right result. That is too small a sample to quote a hit rate from, so we do not quote one; every pick is listed above, misses included.
Rayo Vallecano appear in La Liga and UEFA Conference League in our data, and every fixture in each of them is modelled the same way.
Predictions on this page are modelled estimates published for transparency, not betting advice.
Ratings on this page are percentiles against the other clubs in the La Liga, recomputed from the current league table every time it refreshes. Records, goals and home/away splits are the complete league figures; anything labelled “graded” covers only the matches we published a prediction on.