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NFL 2026 · 8th Day Engine

Week 3 Predictions

24 Sep – 28 Sep 2026 · 16 games · 16 predicted
10/16 correct this week · every miss counted

Where We Break From The Line

Week 3: we disagree on 4 games

Across 1,139 backtested games our disagreements with the closing line were right 41% of the time. We publish them regardless — and we publish how they land.

CAR @ CLE CLE vs CAR NE @ JAX NE vs JAX LAR @ DEN DEN vs LAR PHI @ CHI CHI vs PHI

Every Week 3 Game

Published before kickoff · graded after
Fri, 25 Sep · 00:15 UTC
Atlanta Falcons logo
ATL
35
@
Green Bay Packers logo
GB
14
ATL 33% GB 67%
Green Bay Packers to win
67% Total 45.7 Solid
Line GB −6.0
✗ Missed
Sun, 27 Sep · 17:00 UTC
Carolina Panthers logo
CAR
18
@
Cleveland Browns logo
CLE
21
CAR 49% CLE 51%
Cleveland Browns to win
51% Total 43.2 Coin Flip
Line CAR −2.5 We differ
✓ Correct
Sun, 27 Sep · 17:00 UTC · Division
Cincinnati Bengals logo
CIN
27
@
Pittsburgh Steelers logo
PIT
30
CIN 50% PIT 50%
Cincinnati Bengals to win
50% Total 47.2 Coin Flip
Line CIN −3.5
✗ Missed
Sun, 27 Sep · 17:00 UTC · Division
Houston Texans logo
HOU
17
@
Indianapolis Colts logo
IND
19
HOU 61% IND 39%
Houston Texans to win
61% Total 48.0 Solid
Line HOU −2.5
✗ Missed
Sun, 27 Sep · 17:00 UTC
Kansas City Chiefs logo
KC
24
@
Miami Dolphins logo
MIA
10
KC 63% MIA 37%
Kansas City Chiefs to win
63% Total 44.0 Solid
Line KC −11.5
✓ Correct
Sun, 27 Sep · 17:00 UTC
Los Angeles Chargers logo
LAC
16
@
Buffalo Bills logo
BUF
24
LAC 20% BUF 80%
Buffalo Bills to win
80% Total 45.9 Strong
Line BUF −7.0
✓ Correct
Sun, 27 Sep · 17:00 UTC
New England Patriots logo
NE
6
@
Jacksonville Jaguars logo
JAX
35
NE 52% JAX 48%
New England Patriots to win
52% Total 45.2 Coin Flip
Line JAX −3.0 We differ
✗ Missed
Sun, 27 Sep · 17:00 UTC
New York Jets logo
NYJ
24
@
Detroit Lions logo
DET
31
NYJ 26% DET 74%
Detroit Lions to win
74% Total 48.3 Strong
Line DET −6.5
✓ Correct
Sun, 27 Sep · 17:00 UTC
Seattle Seahawks logo
SEA
31
@
Washington Commanders logo
WAS
33
SEA 80% WAS 20%
Seattle Seahawks to win
80% Total 46.1 Strong
Line SEA −7.0
✗ Missed
Sun, 27 Sep · 17:00 UTC
Tennessee Titans logo
TEN
7
@
New York Giants logo
NYG
12
TEN 31% NYG 69%
New York Giants to win
69% Total 45.7 Strong
Line NYG −3.5
✓ Correct
Sun, 27 Sep · 20:05 UTC · Division
Arizona Cardinals logo
ARI
30
@
San Francisco 49ers logo
SF
36
ARI 23% SF 77%
San Francisco 49ers to win
77% Total 47.9 Strong
Line SF −8.5
✓ Correct
Sun, 27 Sep · 20:05 UTC
Minnesota Vikings logo
MIN
23
@
Tampa Bay Buccaneers logo
TB
16
MIN 69% TB 31%
Minnesota Vikings to win
69% Total 44.3 Strong
Line MIN −1.5
✓ Correct
Sun, 27 Sep · 20:25 UTC · Neutral
Baltimore Ravens logo
BAL
34
@
Dallas Cowboys logo
DAL
31
BAL 59% DAL 41%
Baltimore Ravens to win
59% Total 49.8 Lean
Line BAL −3.0
✓ Correct
Sun, 27 Sep · 20:25 UTC
Las Vegas Raiders logo
LV
35
@
New Orleans Saints logo
NO
27
LV 39% NO 61%
New Orleans Saints to win
61% Total 42.7 Solid
Line NO −3.0
✗ Missed
Mon, 28 Sep · 00:20 UTC
Los Angeles Rams logo
LAR
26
@
Denver Broncos logo
DEN
30
LAR 45% DEN 55%
Denver Broncos to win
55% Total 46.0 Lean
Line LAR −2.5 We differ
✓ Correct
Tue, 29 Sep · 00:15 UTC
Philadelphia Eagles logo
PHI
7
@
Chicago Bears logo
CHI
27
PHI 48% CHI 52%
Chicago Bears to win
52% Total 45.4 Coin Flip
Line PHI −3.0 We differ
✓ Correct