They are scoring 1.45 goals a game, which ranks 11th of 24 in the Championship against a divisional average of 1.44.
At the other end they concede 1.91 a game — 22nd best in the division, where the average side ships 1.44.
Home and away form is close to identical (0.67 points per game at home, 0.80 on the road), which is unusual and makes them harder to fade in either fixture.
Overall that is 8 points from 11 matches, 22nd in the table and a 27th percentile profile against the rest of the division.
Burnley grade out average for attack and weak for defence. That shape — a side whose attack carries them and whose defence is the department most likely to cost a tight match — is why the engine prices their fixtures the way it does: a projected margin that tracks the goal difference rather than the reputation.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 Swansea |
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 23 | LWWWW |
| 2 |
 West Ham |
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 12 | +18 | 22 | WWDDW |
| 3 |
 Middlesbrough |
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 16 | +6 | 22 | DWWDD |
| 4 |
 Birmingham |
11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 11 | +9 | 20 | WWWDW |
| 5 |
 West Brom |
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 20 | WWLLD |
| 6 |
 Stoke City |
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 19 | WLWWW |
| 7 |
 Wolves |
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 18 | DWLLW |
| 8 |
 Southampton |
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 10 | +11 | 17 | DWWLW |
| 9 |
 QPR |
11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 17 | LWDDD |
| 10 |
 Blackburn |
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 15 | LWWDW |
| 11 |
 Sheffield Utd |
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 15 | WLWLL |
| 12 |
 Millwall |
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 15 | DLWDD |
| 13 |
Portsmouth |
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 15 | DWWLD |
| 14 |
 Wrexham |
11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 | WLDWL |
| 15 |
 Bolton |
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 | DWLWW |
| 16 |
 Bristol City |
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 14 | LLDWL |
| 17 |
 Charlton |
11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 14 | LDDLD |
| 18 |
 Lincoln |
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 12 | DLLLW |
| 19 |
 Cardiff |
11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 11 | DWLWL |
| 20 |
 Watford |
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 | WLLLL |
| 21 |
 Norwich |
11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 22 |
Burnley
|
11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 8 | LDWDL |
| 23 |
 Derby |
11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 6 | LLDDL |
| 24 |
 Preston |
11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 4 | LLLDL |
Every prediction on this club was published before kick-off and graded against the final score afterwards. Nothing has been removed, including the misses — the strip above shows them alongside the hits. We are not publishing a hit-rate percentage for Burnley yet: 21 graded picks is too small a sample for one to mean anything, and a precise-looking figure off a sample this size would be misleading rather than transparent. The site-wide accuracy record, which pools every league, is the number worth reading until this one catches up.
Burnley are covered by the 8th Day Engine, which publishes a projected scoreline and a win probability for every Championship fixture before kick-off.
They currently sit 22nd in the Championship on 8 points from 11 matches, with 16 scored and 21 conceded for a goal difference of -5.
The engine grades them D overall — a 27th percentile side across attack, defence, consistency, momentum and both home and away form, measured against every other club in the division rather than against reputation.
We hold 21 graded predictions on Burnley so far, 9 of which called the right result. That is too small a sample to quote a hit rate from, so we do not quote one; every pick is listed above, misses included.
Burnley appear in Championship and Premier League in our data, and every fixture in each of them is modelled the same way.
Predictions on this page are modelled estimates published for transparency, not betting advice.
Ratings on this page are percentiles against the other clubs in the Championship, recomputed from the current league table every time it refreshes. Records, goals and home/away splits are the complete league figures; anything labelled “graded” covers only the matches we published a prediction on.