They are scoring 2.00 goals a game, which ranks 2nd of 24 in the Championship against a divisional average of 1.44.
At the other end they concede 1.45 a game — 11th best in the division, where the average side ships 1.44.
The split between home and away is pronounced — 2.33 points per game at home against 1.60 on the road — and the engine weights that gap in every fixture it prices.
Overall that is 22 points from 11 matches, 3rd in the table and a 77th percentile profile against the rest of the division.
Middlesbrough grade out elite for attack and average for defence. That shape — a side whose attack carries them and whose defence is the department most likely to cost a tight match — is why the engine prices their fixtures the way it does: high-scoring games with live over markets.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 Swansea |
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 23 | LWWWW |
| 2 |
 West Ham |
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 12 | +18 | 22 | WWDDW |
| 3 |
Middlesbrough
|
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 16 | +6 | 22 | DWWDD |
| 4 |
 Birmingham |
11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 11 | +9 | 20 | WWWDW |
| 5 |
 West Brom |
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 20 | WWLLD |
| 6 |
 Stoke City |
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 19 | WLWWW |
| 7 |
 Wolves |
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 18 | DWLLW |
| 8 |
 Southampton |
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 10 | +11 | 17 | DWWLW |
| 9 |
 QPR |
11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 17 | LWDDD |
| 10 |
 Blackburn |
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 15 | LWWDW |
| 11 |
 Sheffield Utd |
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 15 | WLWLL |
| 12 |
 Millwall |
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 15 | DLWDD |
| 13 |
 Portsmouth |
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 15 | DWWLD |
| 14 |
 Wrexham |
11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 | WLDWL |
| 15 |
 Bolton |
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 | DWLWW |
| 16 |
 Bristol City |
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 14 | LLDWL |
| 17 |
Charlton |
11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 14 | LDDLD |
| 18 |
 Lincoln |
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 12 | DLLLW |
| 19 |
 Cardiff |
11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 11 | DWLWL |
| 20 |
 Watford |
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 | WLLLL |
| 21 |
 Norwich |
11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 22 |
 Burnley |
11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 8 | LDWDL |
| 23 |
 Derby |
11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 6 | LLDDL |
| 24 |
 Preston |
11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 4 | LLLDL |
Every prediction on this club was published before kick-off and graded against the final score afterwards. Nothing has been removed, including the misses — the strip above shows them alongside the hits. We are not publishing a hit-rate percentage for Middlesbrough yet: 24 graded picks is too small a sample for one to mean anything, and a precise-looking figure off a sample this size would be misleading rather than transparent. The site-wide accuracy record, which pools every league, is the number worth reading until this one catches up.
Middlesbrough are covered by the 8th Day Engine, which publishes a projected scoreline and a win probability for every Championship fixture before kick-off.
They currently sit 3rd in the Championship on 22 points from 11 matches, with 22 scored and 16 conceded for a goal difference of +6.
The engine grades them B+ overall — a 77th percentile side across attack, defence, consistency, momentum and both home and away form, measured against every other club in the division rather than against reputation.
We hold 24 graded predictions on Middlesbrough so far, 12 of which called the right result. That is too small a sample to quote a hit rate from, so we do not quote one; every pick is listed above, misses included.
Predictions on this page are modelled estimates published for transparency, not betting advice.
Ratings on this page are percentiles against the other clubs in the Championship, recomputed from the current league table every time it refreshes. Records, goals and home/away splits are the complete league figures; anything labelled “graded” covers only the matches we published a prediction on.